Merchants on Polymarket are betting the court docket will agree, with “sure” shares for “no jail time” buying and selling at 48 cents, that means the market sees a 46% chance she’ll be launched. Every share pays out $1 (in USDC, a cryptocurrency that trades 1:1 for {dollars}) if the prediction comes true, and nothing if it does not.
Caroline Ellison,Intel,Prediction Markets,Polymarket
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